Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.537357 5.405769 6.371648 7.522154 8.851633 10.335935 12.114667
2025-06-22 3.084379 4.137501 5.430951 7.122802 9.262119 11.860688 15.237343
2025-06-29 2.323526 3.447705 4.948113 7.067024 9.946669 13.683327 18.850546
2025-07-06 1.815057 2.945076 4.567039 7.013309 10.545861 15.387151 22.429983
2025-07-13 1.574875 2.757736 4.562856 7.437916 11.800440 18.047790 27.509515
2025-07-20 1.346827 2.533627 4.451050 7.661567 12.756334 20.344574 32.253850
2025-07-27 1.193730 2.396662 4.442441 8.023365 13.933645 23.041670 37.780677
2025-08-03 1.008657 2.163624 4.231945 8.015752 14.506887 24.847491 42.083315
2025-08-10 0.819138 1.881221 3.886243 7.721321 14.558909 25.814334 45.126543
2025-08-17 0.670244 1.645772 3.584118 7.453381 14.608601 26.755036 48.166446
2025-08-24 0.577097 1.506128 3.439371 7.448317 15.104995 28.457821 52.555121
2025-08-31 0.502304 1.390592 3.322783 7.477057 15.655717 30.282085 57.258645
2025-09-07 0.430851 1.269326 3.179555 7.443034 16.101693 31.987515 61.938766
2025-09-14 0.347247 1.097612 2.898046 7.086325 15.887263 32.489682 64.545579
2025-09-21 0.298103 1.003145 2.773809 7.044026 16.284935 34.137446 69.311646
2025-09-28 0.256129 0.917428 2.654778 6.994950 16.658789 35.761190 74.134080
2025-10-05 0.243639 0.915070 2.739918 7.420193 18.063715 39.460805 83.057900
2025-10-12 0.222665 0.881363 2.739561 7.643940 19.054958 42.415702 90.743956
2025-10-19 0.209445 0.869311 2.794035 8.005208 20.377510 46.114293 100.072825
2025-10-26 0.183636 0.807817 2.703870 7.997678 20.873957 48.173942 106.322439
2025-11-02 0.152099 0.716069 2.511487 7.703855 20.685267 48.806091 109.777109
2025-11-09 0.126330 0.636750 2.339253 7.436457 20.526487 49.480065 113.343152
2025-11-16 0.111086 0.593704 2.268551 7.431406 20.990776 51.506783 119.778715